NBA Best Bets of the Day

Saturday, Nov 27, 2021

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.

Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Friday, Nov 26, 2021.



Phoenix Suns @ Brooklyn Nets

Sat 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for PHO @ BKN is PHO +3.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $110 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks

Sat 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for NY @ ATL is NY +3.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 53% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $101 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Sat 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MIA @ CHI is MIA ML -120. Our simulations expect this bet to win 56% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $103 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Charlotte Hornets @ Houston Rockets

Sat 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CHA @ HOU is CHA -4.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 52% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $99 for every $100 bet.

Our models calculate this to be a -EV bet which means we would avoid betting this game altogether.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz

Sat 9:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for NO @ UTA is NO +13.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $110 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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