NBA Best Bets of the Day

Tuesday, Oct 19, 2021

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.

Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Monday, Oct 18, 2021.



Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks

Tue 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for BKN @ MIL is BKN +1.5 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 54% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $105 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers

Tue 10:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for GS @ LAL is Under 226.5 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 55% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $107 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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