NBA Best Bets of the Day

Wednesday, Jan 19, 2022

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.

Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Tuesday, Jan 18, 2022.



Brooklyn Nets @ Washington Wizards

Wed 7:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for BKN @ WAS is Under 235.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 66% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $125 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 7 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers

Wed 7:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for ORL @ PHI is ORL ML +525. Our simulations expect this bet to win 19% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $116 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Charlotte Hornets @ Boston Celtics

Wed 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CHA @ BOS is Under 222.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 52% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $98 for every $100 bet.

Our models calculate this to be a -EV bet which means we would avoid betting this game altogether.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Atlanta Hawks

Wed 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MIN @ ATL is Under 235.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 63% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $120 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 5 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Miami Heat

Wed 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for POR @ MIA is Over 210.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 56% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $107 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Chicago Bulls

Wed 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CLE @ CHI is CHI +3.0 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 50% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $98 for every $100 bet.

Our models calculate this to be a -EV bet which means we would avoid betting this game altogether.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Bucks

Wed 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MEM @ MIL is Under 228.0 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $113 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs

Wed 8:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for OKC @ SA is Under 221.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 57% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $108 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Toronto Raptors @ Dallas Mavericks

Wed 8:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for TOR @ DAL is TOR ML +160. Our simulations expect this bet to win 39% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $102 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz

Wed 9:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for HOU @ UTA is Under 230.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 57% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $109 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Denver Nuggets

Wed 10:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for LAC @ DEN is LAC +9.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $110 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Detroit Pistons @ Sacramento Kings

Wed 10:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for DET @ SAC is Under 221.0 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 53% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $102 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers

Wed 10:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for IND @ LAL is LAL ML -165. Our simulations expect this bet to win 72% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $116 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 6 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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