NBA Best Bets of the Day
Saturday, May 21, 2022
Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.
We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.
Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Friday, May 20, 2022.
Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics
Sat 8:30 PM EST
The best bet of the game for MIA @ BOS is Over 207.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $111 for every $100 bet.
The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.
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