NBA Best Bets of the Day

Thursday, Jan 13, 2022

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.

Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Wednesday, Jan 12, 2022.



Golden State Warriors @ Milwaukee Bucks

Thu 7:30 PM EST

The best bet of the game for GS @ MIL is Under 225.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 66% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $125 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 7 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies

Thu 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MIN @ MEM is Under 230.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 61% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $115 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 4 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans

Thu 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for LAC @ NO is LAC +4.0 -115. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $108 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Brooklyn Nets

Thu 8:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for OKC @ BKN is BKN -5.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 53% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $101 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets

Thu 10:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for POR @ DEN is Over 210.0 -115. Our simulations expect this bet to win 69% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $128 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 8 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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